Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000290 0.000324 0.000361 0.000405 0.000454 0.000508 0.000572
2025-01-12 0.000220 0.000268 0.000324 0.000395 0.000485 0.000594 0.000737
2025-01-19 0.000174 0.000225 0.000289 0.000376 0.000493 0.000646 0.000864
2025-01-26 0.000152 0.000205 0.000277 0.000380 0.000527 0.000732 0.001044
2025-02-02 0.000139 0.000197 0.000277 0.000398 0.000580 0.000849 0.001282
2025-02-09 0.000124 0.000180 0.000263 0.000393 0.000599 0.000916 0.001456
2025-02-16 0.000113 0.000170 0.000256 0.000397 0.000629 0.001003 0.001674
2025-02-23 0.000102 0.000158 0.000245 0.000393 0.000645 0.001070 0.001867
2025-03-02 0.000094 0.000150 0.000239 0.000396 0.000672 0.001156 0.002106
2025-03-09 0.000087 0.000142 0.000232 0.000394 0.000692 0.001232 0.002337
2025-03-16 0.000078 0.000129 0.000216 0.000377 0.000679 0.001246 0.002450
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000124 0.000211 0.000378 0.000702 0.001330 0.002716
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000122 0.000213 0.000394 0.000755 0.001485 0.003167
2025-04-06 0.000064 0.000114 0.000204 0.000385 0.000761 0.001544 0.003425
2025-04-13 0.000057 0.000104 0.000189 0.000366 0.000743 0.001551 0.003563
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000100 0.000187 0.000370 0.000773 0.001668 0.003986
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000100 0.000190 0.000388 0.000834 0.001865 0.004653
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000095 0.000184 0.000383 0.000846 0.001948 0.005040
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000092 0.000181 0.000387 0.000877 0.002081 0.005592
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000087 0.000176 0.000383 0.000890 0.002171 0.006043
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000084 0.000173 0.000386 0.000918 0.002305 0.006654
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000081 0.000170 0.000384 0.000937 0.002418 0.007229
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000075 0.000159 0.000367 0.000912 0.002405 0.007396